It’s not like film producers don’t have enough to worry about. Will the script be good? Will the actors and the story draw people to the box office? Will distribution deals be made? And now … hurricanes? From Deadline Hollywood:
Should Matthew torment the southeast, it could dent weekend ticket sales by an additional -5%. Currently, the fall box office which is close to $537M is down 9% from the same post-Labor Day through October 2 period a year ago. The last time Mother Nature socked the B.O. was during the third weekend of January with snowstorm Jonas which prevented wide releases that weekend from crossing $16M at the B.O.
Meanwhile, Universal is releasing DreamWorks feature adaptation of Paula Hawkins’ 2011 chick-lit bestseller, The Girl on the Train, directed by Tate Taylor. Pic follows a divorcee who, while on the train, passes by life’s most perfect couple…until she sees something terrible happen. Many would like to think that it’s Gone Girl all over again at the box office. But this Girl isn’t expected to be, with a high $20M opening at 3,135 theaters per insider and industry projections. Gone Girl opened to $37.5M, but it was fueled by Ben Affleck’s star power and director David Fincher’s fandom. The Girl on the Train’s lead passenger is Sicario‘s Emily Blunt. In addition, Girl on the Train’s ending, while a surprise, isn’t a whopper like Gone Girl’s. Right now, Fandango sees advance ticket sales for The Girl on the Train zooming past fall 2013’s Prisoners, which debuted to $20.8M. Girl on the Train is a DreamWorks production and cost an estimated mid $40M before P&A. Thursday showtimes start at 7PM. Girl will pull into select international territories and release simultaneously with domestic in eight markets, including Taiwan, Singapore and Colombia. The film is also being released this weekend in the United Kingdom and Australia where distribution is being overseen by Mister Smith Entertainment. Many say that if Miami gets hit by Hurricane Matthew, it won’t dent that much of the weekend’s business, however, there’s a bigger concern if the southeast gets soaked.
The full piece is here.